Disappointment has greeted gold investors since the early
1980s who purchased gold in the hope of owning an appreciating
asset. However, this trend is less damning for gold when
viewed in a long-term historical context. One way to get such
a view is to examine the ratio of the DOW to the price of gold over
a long period. Historically, the price of gold and the
stock market are counter-cyclical. The graph below shows gold
and equities investor sentiment during peaks and troughs in the
cycle.
The ratio of the DOW to the price of gold
approaches one to one toward the end of periods of financial
insecurity brought on by excessive and prolonged inflation or
deflation during which owners of capital have sold equities and
bonds and purchase gold as a means of capital preservation.
During the previous two peaks in the equities markets in the 1920s
and 1960s, the ratio was 19 to one and 27 to one
respectively. The current top in the equities markets marks a
new peak in the gold/DOW ratio, now 37 to one.